Heat in S Asia could exceed survivable levels by 2100: study

Yahoo – AFP, August 2, 2017

People cool themselves off in a water channel during a heat wave on June 4,
2017 in Lahore, Pakistan (AFP Photo/ARIF ALI)

South Asia, home to one-fifth of the world's population, could see humid heat rise to unsurvivable levels by century's end if nothing is done to halt global warming, researchers said Wednesday.

The study in the journal Science Advances warned of "summer heat waves with levels of heat and humidity that exceed what humans can survive without protection."

The research is based on two climate models. One is a "business-as-usual" scenario in which little is done to contain climate change, and the second is aimed at limiting temperature rise to well below two degrees Celsius, as pledged by more than 190 nations under the 2015 Paris climate accord.

The study is the first of its kind to look not just at temperatures, but at the forecast of "wet-bulb temperature," which combines temperature, humidity and the human body's ability to cool down in response.

The survivability threshold is considered to be 35 degrees Celsius, or 95 degrees Fahrenheit.

Under a business-as-usual scenario, "wet-bulb temperatures are projected to approach the survivability threshold over most of South Asia, and exceed it at a few locations, by the end of the century," said the report.

About 30 percent of the population in the region would be exposed to these harmful temperatures, up from zero percent at present, said the report.

The densely populated farming regions of South Asia could fare the worst, because workers are exposed to heat with little opportunity for escape into air-conditioned environments.

"Deadly heat waves could begin within as little as a few decades to strike regions of India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh, including the fertile Indus and Ganges river basins that produce much of the region's food supply," said the report.

Indian is home to 1.25 billion people, while another 350 million live in Bangladesh and Pakistan.

Already in 2015, the fifth deadliest heat wave in modern history swept over large parts of India and Pakistan, killing some 3,500 people.

But researchers said their models gave cause for hope, too. Under the scenario in which steps are taken to limit warming over the coming decades, the population exposed to harmful wet-bulb temperatures would increase from zero to just two percent.

Temperatures would still reach dangerous levels (over 31 Celsius), but would not be quite so close to the fatal threshold.

"There is value in mitigation, as far as public health and reducing heat waves," said lead author Elfatih Eltahirhe, professor of environmental engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).

"With mitigation, we hope we will be able to avoid these severe projections. This is not something that is unavoidable."

Related Article:

20TH KRYON SUMMER LIGHT CONFERENCE, US (7), June 2-4, 2017 (Kryon Channelling by Lee Carroll) (Text version "The State of the Earth") - New

"... The Predicted Weather Shift

For many years, I have spoken on what is happening with your weather. When I began, my information was highly controversial, for it did not match what you were being told by the media. For those same years, you have seen that which was called "the warming". I told you that it was actually the beginning of a "cooling". I did this to head off what always happens with the doomsayers: I wanted to set the record straight before others would come in and build another doom scenario out of the weather shift, which is very common for humanity. Fear is the old energy's friend, and change always creates fear.

I want to make a statement: The doom scenario of humanity is so ingrained in you that it has become a habit. Whenever you see something unusual, the first thing you think of is doom! Dear one, you were trained to think that way! In the old energy, it came from history, from scripture, from your parents, from all those who would socially join in, and in conspiracy theories that had all of humanity coming to a horrible end - and seeming to enjoy themselves while they did it! The doom scenario, dear ones, is a habit. Your current movies don't help, with some of them being doom scenarios about weather and earth changes. You're still not through it. The habit is alive and well.

However, this is a love story. I want to tell you about the weather.

If you would like to scientifically track what's happening, simply look to solar activity. That is the reason and always was. Kryon did't bring this to humanity. You can see the cycles of weather on the planet from the cycles of the solar activity as recorded in history. They correlate, and it's happened before. What you see today is not approaching doom. It's not a mistake that another cycle is coming, and we told you it would, 14 years ago. Listen, the cycle comes whether there are Humans here or not. Should we say that again? The cycle comes whether there are Humans here or not.

This is controversial. Let the records of the ice cores and tree rings show that the cycle is very consistent. It starts with warming and high carbon dioxide levels, and it eventually goes into a place of cooling. This cycle has been seen over and over throughout the centuries in various stages of intensity.

This time, right on schedule, there is the beginning of a mini ice age. People say, "When?" If you have been paying attention, you don't need a prophet. Instead, look at the cycle from the charts of the past and the behavior of the sun. The timing is there, but I'll tell you anyway. You will start seeing the cold portion within 15 years (2032).

Some of you are still enjoying the warming section of it. That will slowly start to move. It must come before the cooling, and that scenario is known by those who study the planet's dynamics. The issue so far is that you really haven't heard much from this expert group, since they are often employed by the government or have university grants. So what they may wish to tell you is still at odds with the popular story that others wish you to believe.

A mini ice age is coming. "Kryon, isn't that doom for the planet?"  Many have seen the artist's rendering of major earth cities under ice and all of the other things that go very well with science fiction movies. That's simply a painting of someone's doom scenario, not reality based in the history of the cycle. If you want to know what a mini ice age is like, just flash back in history and study what took place in about 1650. That was a mini ice age. Due to the change in the Gulf Stream (the ocean), the river Thames froze in London. Dear ones, it was cold, but it did not doom the planet. That's a mini ice age.

That's what you're facing, and I'll say it again. If you live in a cold climate, heed this advice: It's going to get colder. Get off the grid! Within the next 15 years, find a way of producing electricity independently or in smaller groups. This can be done neighborhood-wide or separately in homes. You're going to need this, dear ones, because the grid as it exists right now all over the world is not prepared for this coming cold, and the grid will fail. That's not doom and gloom, that's just practical, commonly known information. Your electricity infrastructure is delicate, too delicate. Prepare for a cold spell that may last for a couple of decades. That's all it is. Technology is racing forward to allow this. Don't let your politics get in the way of your survival.

Why is this a love story? Listen: Why does Gaia do this? What's the purpose of these kinds of things? I'll give it to you one more time - it's controversial, even unbelievable to many. How many of you here have fish tanks in your homes for the care of fish? Those listening and reading: How many have had, or have, fish tanks? For those who do, I'll tell you something that you already know: You can do whatever you need to the water over time to condition it and make it last. You can change the pH level, you can change the temperatures, and you can aerate. However, there eventually comes a time where you've got to change the water! This is what the temperature changes are about on the planet.

This is controversial. The planet can't just "change the water". It does it instead with a "reboot of life in the ocean" using the water cycle. Watch for evidence of this as it occurs, and then remember this channel. This weather cycle is to refresh the life in the ocean so that everyone on the planet will have needed food from the ocean. Gaia does this by itself, has done it before, and it does it for a reason - so it will not stagnate.

Dear ones, indeed, you have put compromising things into the air and the water, but it has not caused this cycle. We have said for a very long time, stop killing the environment! The reason? It's going to kill you, not Gaia. Gaia is spectacularly resilient and will survive anything you do. However, it is you who may not survive if you continue polluting. All this is starting to change with your awareness, and you're starting to see this and move with it. But Humans are not causing the current weather shift. This will be known eventually.

What is happening has happened before, and it's almost like a reboot for the oceans and it carries a lot of dichotomous events. You're going to see reports of a dying ocean, but at the same time you're going to see unusual reports of too many fish and other sea life in places that were supposed to have a decline. You're going to see the life cycle of the ocean itself start to change and reboot.

The chief player in this renewal is a place you would not expect: Antarctica. I want you to watch for magic in Antarctica. It has always been the core of the refreshing of microbes and other kinds of life in your oceans and it's especially active during these mini ice ages. The process will cause currents under the sea to be filled with new life, delivering it to both hemispheres almost like an under-sea conveyor belt.

So how does this weather shift affect humanity in this love story? How does that work exactly? It means that you, as well as the major life cycle of Earth, will have enough to eat! The ocean is the giver of life, food for the planet, for the life cycle of Gaia itself. The earth must do this for you, and  it's all very related to the solar activity and much more. ...."