Want China Times, Staff Reporter 2013-04-23
| North Korean leader Kim Jong-un salutes KPA troops on March 12, 2013. (Photo/Xinhua) |
Troubled by
the persistent provocations emanating from North Korea, Beijing has indicated a
willingness to open a dialogue with the United States on how to stabilize the
Korean peninsula.
According
to a report in the Seoul-based Chosun Ilbo, Beijing has been deeply troubled by
the missile tests and provocative behavior of Pyongyang, led by its
unpredictable and inexperienced 29-year-old leader Kim Jong-un. To prevent the
situation from potentially spiraling out of control, Beijing at the start of
this year indicated a willingness to open talks with the US about how to rein
in its wayward ally, the newspaper said.
The US
secretary of state, John Kerry, appeared to confirm the report during a
briefing with US lawmakers on April 17. "I think it's fair to say that
without China, North Korea would collapse," he said. "Therefore, I
think it is important for us to work with China. And I think China has
indicated its willingness to work with us."
Beijing is
said to be interested in joining the push by the Park Geun-hye government in
South Korea to initiate a strategic dialogue between the South, China and the
US, which will be aimed at pressuring North Korea to change its approach of
resorting to blackmail to get what it wants. A source from Seoul said that
during recent China-South Korea talks, a Chinese representative said that this
type of dialogue was essential. "This shows that Kim Jong-un's provocation
has been excessive, and China is beginning to shift in its attitude," the
source said.
The
Japanese newspaper Asahi Shimbun, citing a North Korean source, said Pyongyang
has accepted Beijing's proposal to conduct talks. Analysts believe China is
likely to send a number of senior officials to Pyongyang, in particular Wu
Dawei, China's special representative for Korean peninsula affairs. The primary
goal of the visit will be to get North Korea to rejoin the stalled six-party
talks concerning its nuclear program and to accept opening a dialogue with the
US, the paper said.
Asahi
Shimbun also speculated that North Korea might accept China's proposal because
Kim Jong-un would be able to tell his country that it was the US and South
Korea who backed down from the confrontation.
North Korea
has already deployed several missile launchers to its east coast, though an
anticipated launch on April 15, the birthday of the country's late founder Kim
Il-sung, did not take place as some had expected.
A South
Korean military spokesperson said on Monday that the North could conduct a missile
test on one of three specific dates: the founding anniversary of the Korean
People's Army on April 25; the last day of the US-South Korea joint war games
on April 30; or the 60th anniversary of the end of the Korean War on July 27.
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“….. Here is the prediction: China will turn North Korea loose soon. The alliance will dissolve, or become stale. There will be political upheaval in China. Not a coup and not a revolution. Within the inner circles of that which you call Chinese politics, there will be a re-evaluation of goals and monetary policy. Eventually, you will see a break with North Korea, allowing still another dictator to fall and unification to occur with the south. ….”
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